Movement
Consensus lock into resolution
The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
0.05% (0.05¢)
Settled result
No
Context
Headline and statement context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
János Lázár will be the next Prime Minister of Hungary. This question was the subject of a resolved prediction market. Traders exchanged contracts to predict the next leader of the Hungarian government. The market accumulated a total volume of 9,297,942.56 dollars before the close. The trading platform did not preserve the full price path for this event. This missing data prevents a detailed analysis of how the contract values fluctuated. However, the final settlement record for the market is firm. The market officially resolved on May 9, 2026. The resolution process completed at exactly 17:40:23 UTC. The final outcome resolved to Yes under the event rules. This decision concluded all active wagering on the prime minister position. The contract settled at a final traded price of one dollar.
The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $9.3M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive