Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
The market sat near 29.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 30-point move.
Last observed Yes
0.05% (0.05¢)
Settled result
No
Context
Headline and statement context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
This prediction market asked if the next Prime Minister of Hungary would be Viktor Orbán. The trade was conducted under the event name Next Prime Minister of Hungary. The market resolved on May 9, 2026, at exactly 17:36:51 UTC. The data list the final outcome of the contract as Yes. The settlement notes record that the market resolved No on May 9, 2026. The total volume of trades for this event reached 25,456,113.71 dollars. The market price sat near 29.5 percent before it started to drop. The contract price eventually fell to 0 percent into settlement. This change in the contract price represented a 30 point move. The settlement documentation lists the volume before settlement as 25.5 million dollars. The market finished with a final traded price of 0 percent.
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive