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Polyguana

Track Polymarket prediction markets with live prices, rankings, and analytics. Polyguana is the CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Browse live market rankings, events, resolved outcomes, and research without the footer trying to explain the infrastructure.

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© 2026 Polyguana. CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Prediction market intelligence. Not investment advice.

Research

Data exports, methodology, and calibration tools for prediction market research

Data Exports

Download market data as CSV. All exports include timestamp and source metadata.

Market Snapshot CSV

Top 100 live markets by 24h volume with prices, liquidity, spread, precision score, and related event fields.

Download CSV

Market History CSV

Historical price series for the top 12 markets by volume, exported as time-series rows with liquidity snapshots.

Download CSV

Methodology

Definitions, formulas, data sources, and known pitfalls. Understand how we compute precision scores, price basis, and microstructure metrics.

Price Discovery Guide

A search-focused guide to how prediction markets express consensus, when market prices are reliable, and how topical landing pages turn headline demand into usable live probabilities.

Calibration Tools

Measure forecasting skill with Brier scores and reliability curves.

Brier Score Calculator

Compute Brier scores at fixed horizons (1h, 24h, 7d before resolution) against resolved markets.

Reliability Curve

Predicted probability vs actual resolution rate, bucketed by decile.

Source: Polymarket CLOB API. Data cached via Supabase with refresh intervals noted per endpoint. All timestamps in UTC.