Movement
Consensus lock into resolution
The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
0.05% (0.05¢)
Settled result
No
Context
Headline and statement context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
László Toroczkai is the next Prime Minister of Hungary according to the final outcome of the resolved prediction market. This political prediction contract reached its official resolution on the date of May 9, 2026, at exactly 17:37:45 UTC. The specific question on the platform asked users to forecast the identity of the future leader of the Hungarian government. Before the final close of active trading, market participants accumulated a total volume of 13,863,122.73 dollars in transactions. The database did not preserve a full price path detailing the historical price fluctuations of this political contract. The official settlement record for this specific political market remains completely firm. By backing the positive resolution, the crowd of active prediction market traders correctly predicted the result.
The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $13.9M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive