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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 25, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___?·#701458

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

50/50
Final answerResolved Nov 25, 2025

Prediction markets fell from 91.5% to 50% before this settled 50/50 on Nov 25, 2025.

“MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?” resolved 50/50 on Nov 25, 2025, after $2.6M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___? event family.

ResolvedNov 25, 2025
Volume$2.6M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Market image50/50
Last observed Yes91.5% (91.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 91.5% before it fell to 50% into settlement — a 42-point move.

91.5¢ALL+3.4%
86¢88¢90¢92¢94¢11/2511/25Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

91.5% (91.5¢)

Settled result

50/50

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-5.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now97%+88.5%$482.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now14.2%-4.8%$401.4KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 25, 202550/50 settlement with $2.6M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price88.5% (88.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Same contract familyYes

Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Total commitments for the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO · $1.3M traded · Jan 10, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventYes

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___? · $3.7M traded · Nov 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Spread
1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
2 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle88.5% (88.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price91.5% (91.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty91.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score3 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same topic: CryptoNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? · $375.8M traded · Jun 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: CryptoYes

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? · $55.1M traded · Jan 3, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: CryptoNo

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___? · $44.2M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: CryptoNo

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Monad FDV one day after launch? · $34.9M traded · Nov 28, 2025

Open resolved page
Same topic: CryptoNo

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? · $31.4M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive