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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 25, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___?·#700794

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 25, 2025

The crowd called it — 96.9% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?” resolved Yes on Nov 25, 2025, after $3.7M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___? event family.

ResolvedNov 25, 2025
Volume$3.7M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes96.9% (96.9¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Large upward reprice

The market sat near 56% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 44-point move.

Large upward reprice

The archived price moved 41 points between the stored anchor and settlement.

Anchor price

96.9% (96.9¢)

Saved surprise score

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

41 pts

Yes probability

Yes 96.9¢ALL+73.0%
51¢63¢76¢88¢100¢11/2411/25Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

96.9% (96.9¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%-0.2%$1.6MTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now78.5%-6.0%$1.4MTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$1.2MTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 25, 2025Yes settlement with $3.7M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price56% (56¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Same event50/50

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in ___? · $2.6M traded · Nov 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same topic: CryptoNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? · $375.8M traded · Jun 4, 2026

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Spike signal
41 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
2 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle56% (56¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price96.9% (96.9¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty96.9%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score41 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same topic: CryptoYes

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Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? · $55.1M traded · Jan 3, 2026

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Same topic: CryptoNo

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___? · $44.2M traded · Jan 1, 2026

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Monad FDV one day after launch? · $34.9M traded · Nov 28, 2025

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Same topic: CryptoNo

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Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

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Browse the full resolved archive