Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
99.95% (99.95¢)
Settled result
Yes
Context
Headline and statement context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
On May 13, 2026, the prediction market asking if Trump would visit China by May 31 settled. The event name in the database is Will Trump visit China by. The resolution occurred at 16:18:15 UTC. The timezone offset is recorded as plus zero hours. The resolution date occurred prior to the travel deadline. The final outcome of the market resolved to No. The contract was active prior to the resolution time. The total volume reached seven million six hundred twenty-six thousand two hundred twenty-four dollars and five cents. The settlement record remains firm. The platform did not preserve a full price path for the contract. Trading ceased on the resolution date. The market concluded at a final traded price of zero.
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 13, 2026 at 4:15 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive