Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
23.5% (23.5¢)
Settled result
Yes
How accurate was the crowd? A surprise — the market leaned against Yes (23.5% confidence) right before it settled.
Context
Public context
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketThe archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
November 25, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · fresh · fresh cache
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
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Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.
Browse the full resolved archive