Movement
Consensus lock into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
99.95% (99.95¢)
Settled result
Yes
Context
Headline and statement context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
On May 13, 2026, the prediction market regarding Donald Trump visiting China by June 30 settled. Traders actively bought and sold shares during the lifespan of the event. The total transaction volume reached two million three hundred thirty-nine thousand three hundred fifty-three dollars. The system failed to preserve the complete historical price path of the market. This lack of historical data did not affect the final settlement process. All trading activity ceased immediately prior to the formal resolution process. The market resolved at sixteen hours eighteen minutes and seventeen seconds UTC. The final outcome of the event was officially declared as No. Donald Trump did not travel to China before the designated deadline. The crowd correctly predicted that the trip would not occur.
The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $2.3M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 13, 2026 at 4:15 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive