Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)
100% implied probability — Chicago Cubs leads
Resolution date: May 27, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
Event cluster: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Topic: baseball
24-hour volume: $10.8K
Total liquidity: $254.5K
Resolution criteria: In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 27 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Related markets from this event:
Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM UTC
Source
supabase-shell
Last refreshed
Jun 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
The crowd puts Chicago Cubs at 99.95%updated 705h agogood book
Official schedule window and game-status watch
Outcome book
Chicago Cubs
99.95¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.05¢
Trade
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Research brief
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) The lead outcome is Chicago Cubs at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 5/27/2026, 10:40:00 PM.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 27 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 5/27/2026, 10:40:00 PM.
May 27, 2026No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.