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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Исходные сведения о рынке на английском
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved May 18, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·NBA MVP ·#564162

MVP НБА

Yes
Final answerResolved May 18, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?” resolved Yes on May 18, 2026, after $4.5M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the NBA MVP event family.

ResolvedMay 18, 2026
Volume$4.5M
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+2.5%
92¢94¢96¢98¢100¢5/115/125/135/145/155/165/175/18Settled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-5.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now96.5%+88.5%$482.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now14.2%-4.8%$399.7KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander did not win the 2025-2026 NBA Most Valuable Player award. The prediction market asking whether he would win this title resolved to No, after reaching a total volume of $4,481,675.94 across all transactions. A full price path was not saved by the platform. Although the platform database did not preserve a full price path showing the historical fluctuations, the final settlement record remains firm. The market resolution date was May 18, 2026. The system finalized the contract at exactly 05:53:35 UTC on that date, using the precise timestamp recorded in the database. The market event was the NBA MVP. The platform completed the final settlement details with a record of 4.5 million dollars traded before the market closed permanently.

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $4.5M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.
Public anchor
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 18, 2026 at 5:50 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price97.55% (97.55¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Same eventNo

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $15.4M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $10.2M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same event
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
May 18, 2026Yes settlement with $4.5M traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $477.9K closing liquidity.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$477.9KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
36 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle97.75% (97.75¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score2 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$477.9KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $7.3M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $6.0M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $6.0M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $5.8M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP · $5.7M traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive