Movement
Consensus lock into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
99.95% (99.95¢)
Settled result
Yes
Context
Public context
Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander did not win the 2025-2026 NBA Most Valuable Player award. The prediction market asking whether he would win this title resolved to No, after reaching a total volume of $4,481,675.94 across all transactions. A full price path was not saved by the platform. Although the platform database did not preserve a full price path showing the historical fluctuations, the final settlement record remains firm. The market resolution date was May 18, 2026. The system finalized the contract at exactly 05:53:35 UTC on that date, using the precise timestamp recorded in the database. The market event was the NBA MVP. The platform completed the final settlement details with a record of 4.5 million dollars traded before the market closed permanently.
The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $4.5M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketEvidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 18, 2026 at 5:50 AM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive
