Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?

Yes

Final answerResolved Apr 30, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Apr 30, 2026. Event family: Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April? $31.3K traded before settlement. Question: Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?

ResolvedApr 30, 2026

Volume$31.3K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 1.1% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 99-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 1.1% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 99-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

1.1% (1.1¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

99 pts

Yes probability

Yes 100.0¢ALL+8986.4%

Yes100.0¢No0.0¢

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Context

FOMC expectation shift

This was a policy-meeting market, so public opinion should be read against the FOMC schedule and statement path rather than generic social chatter. $31.3K traded before settlement.

Federal Reserve FOMC calendarsource linked

Official policy-meeting calendar and statement archive for rate-decision markets.

Open Fed source

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Federal Reserve FOMC calendarOfficial policy-meeting calendar and statement archive for rate-decision markets.

Resolved

Apr 30, 2026Yes settlement with $31.3K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $213.0K closing liquidity.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

April 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price1.1% (1.1¢)Observed

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