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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 26, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos·#703198

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 26, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos” resolved Yes on Nov 26, 2025, after $1.8M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 26, 2025
Volume$1.8M
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncos
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 71% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 29-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+40.8%
68¢76¢84¢92¢100¢11/2511/26Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now83.5%-6.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now15.15%-5.4%$408.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Trending now5.05%-3.4%$320.4KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 26, 2025Yes settlement with $1.8M traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

Spike signal
29 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 26, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price71% (71¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

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Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
2 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle71% (71¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score29 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

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