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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Dec 28, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by...?·#701041

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Yes
Final answerResolved Dec 28, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.75% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” resolved Yes on Dec 28, 2025, after $2.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by...? event family.

ResolvedDec 28, 2025
Volume$2.1M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.75% (99.75¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Large upward reprice

The market sat near 51.7% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 48-point move.

Large upward reprice

The archived price moved 48 points between the stored anchor and settlement.

Lowest Yes

51.7% (51.7¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

48 pts

Yes probability

Yes 99.8¢ALL+92.9%
47¢60¢73¢87¢100¢11/2912/2712/28Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.75% (99.75¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics85.5%+7.0%$620.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending in Politics7.4%+0.5%$258.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending in Politics2.35%0.0%$202.8KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Dec 28, 2025Yes settlement with $2.1M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

December 28, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price51.7% (51.7¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Same entity: Donald TrumpNo

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? · $127.7M traded · Mar 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: DecemberNo

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in December? · $161.6M traded · Dec 10, 2025

Open resolved page
Spike signal
48 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle96.95% (96.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.75% (99.75¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.75% (99.75¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.75%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score3 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Donald TrumpYes

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Presidential Election Winner 2024 · $1.5B traded · Nov 6, 2024

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Same entity: Donald TrumpYes

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? · $90.9M traded · Dec 24, 2025

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Same entity: DecemberNo

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in December? · $133.2M traded · Dec 10, 2025

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Same entity: Donald TrumpYes

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Who will be inaugurated as President? · $400.4M traded · Jan 20, 2025

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Same entity: Donald TrumpYes

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Popular Vote Winner 2024 · $119.9M traded · Nov 11, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive