How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Dec 1, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: Who will Trump talk to in November?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November? — Resolved market

Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?

Final answerResolved Dec 1, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.3% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Dec 1, 2025. Event family: Who will Trump talk to in November? $23.5K traded before settlement. Question: Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?

ResolvedDec 1, 2025

Volume$23.5K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Yes-to-No turn

The market sat near 64.4% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 64-point move.

Yes-to-No turn

Yes traded at 64.4% before the market settled No at 0%, a 64-point reversal.

Peak Yes

64.4% (64.4¢)

Curve peak

Settled No

0% (0¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

64 pts

Yes probability

Yes 0.7¢ALL-97.9%

Last observed Yes

0.7% (0.7¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.3% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Dec 1, 2025No settlement with $23.5K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

December 1, 2025 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price33% (33¢)Observed

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