How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Oct 30, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: MegaETH public sale total commitments?

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? (Oct 30, 2025)

Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Yes

Final answerResolved Oct 30, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?” resolved Yes on Oct 30, 2025, after $1.0M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the MegaETH public sale total commitments? event family.

ResolvedOct 30, 2025

Volume$1.0M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+2.4%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

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Context

Benchmark and filing context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $1.0M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Oct 30, 2025Yes settlement with $1.0M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 30, 2025 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price97.65% (97.65¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

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