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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 29, 2025 on Polymarket.
Resolved answer·Kings vs. Thunder·#646398

Kings vs. Thunder

No
Final answerResolved Oct 29, 2025

The crowd called it — 77% confident in No just before settlement.

“Kings vs. Thunder” resolved No on Oct 29, 2025, after $1.2M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 29, 2025
Volume$1.2M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Kings vs. Thunder
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes23% (23¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 26% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 26-point move.

Yes 23.0¢ALL-11.5%
17¢20¢22¢25¢27¢10/2310/2810/29Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

23% (23¢)

Settled result

No

02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 29, 2025No settlement with $1.2M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 29, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price26% (26¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Kings vs. Thunder
Same contract familyNo

Kings vs. Thunder

Kings vs. Thunder · $1.5M traded · Nov 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ThunderNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.8M traded · Jun 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ThunderNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle18% (18¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price23% (23¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty77%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score5 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.7M traded · Jun 23, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ThunderNo

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.2M traded · Jun 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ThunderYes

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.0M traded · Jun 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ThunderYes

Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs vs. Thunder · $16.0M traded · May 31, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: KingsNo

Kings vs. Clippers

Kings vs. Clippers · $4.4M traded · Nov 23, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive