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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 28, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Raptors vs. Spurs·#646390

Raptors vs. Spurs

No
Final answerResolved Oct 28, 2025

A close one — the market was only 61.5% confident in No at the close.

“Raptors vs. Spurs” resolved No on Oct 28, 2025, after $1.4M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 28, 2025
Volume$1.4M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Raptors vs. Spurs
Market image
No
Last observed Yes38.5% (38.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 51-point move.

Yes 38.5¢ALL-23.0%
21¢29¢37¢45¢54¢10/2310/2410/2510/2610/2610/2710/2710/28Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

38.5% (38.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-2.0%$375.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.45%0.0%$332.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now30.5%-11.5%$310.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 28, 2025No settlement with $1.4M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 28, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Spurs vs. Knicks
Same entity: SpursNo

Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs vs. Knicks · $28.4M traded · Jun 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs vs. Knicks · $24.8M traded · Jun 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Knicks vs. Spurs

Spike signal
27 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
18 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle34.5% (34.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price38.5% (38.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty61.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score4 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Knicks vs. Spurs · $18.8M traded · Jun 14, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks vs. Spurs · $17.8M traded · Jun 6, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs vs. Thunder · $16.0M traded · May 31, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs vs. Thunder · $15.2M traded · May 19, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SpursYes

Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks vs. Spurs · $15.2M traded · Jun 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive