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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 28, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Cavaliers vs. Pistons·#646382

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Yes
Final answerResolved Oct 28, 2025

The crowd called it — 83.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Cavaliers vs. Pistons” resolved Yes on Oct 28, 2025, after $1.3M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 28, 2025
Volume$1.3M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Market image
Yes
Last observed Yes83.5% (83.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 47.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 53-point move.

Yes 83.5¢ALL+75.8%
43¢54¢66¢77¢88¢10/2310/2710/28Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

83.5% (83.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$997.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.15%-0.1%$997.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now81.5%-3.0%$631.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 28, 2025Yes settlement with $1.3M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 28, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price47.5% (47.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Same contract familyYes

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.6M traded · May 14, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.2M traded · May 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo
Spike signal
36 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle56% (56¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price83.5% (83.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty83.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score27 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $4.8M traded · May 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.1M traded · Feb 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $3.9M traded · May 6, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $2.1M traded · May 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $2.1M traded · May 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive