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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 27, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Pacers vs. Timberwolves·#646378

Pacers vs. Timberwolves

No
Final answerResolved Oct 27, 2025

The crowd called it — 74.5% confident in No just before settlement.

“Pacers vs. Timberwolves” resolved No on Oct 27, 2025, after $1.6M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 27, 2025
Volume$1.6M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Pacers vs. Timberwolves
Market image
No
Last observed Yes25.5% (25.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 64% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 64-point move.

Yes 25.5¢ALL-60.2%
14¢27¢41¢55¢69¢10/2310/2610/27Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

25.5% (25.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-5.0%$1.2MTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now97.95%+76.5%$503.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now14.7%-4.3%$314.5KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 27, 2025No settlement with $1.6M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 27, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price64% (64¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Pacers vs. Thunder
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.8M traded · Jun 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.7M traded · Jun 23, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Thunder vs. Pacers

Spike signal
46 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle18.5% (18.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle25.5% (25.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price25.5% (25.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty74.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score7 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.2M traded · Jun 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersYes

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.0M traded · Jun 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $4.0M traded · Jun 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $3.7M traded · Jun 12, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Knicks

Pacers vs. Knicks · $3.5M traded · May 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive