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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 26, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Giants vs. Eagles·#639541

Giants vs. Eagles

No
Final answerResolved Oct 26, 2025

The crowd called it — 83.5% confident in No just before settlement.

“Giants vs. Eagles” resolved No on Oct 26, 2025, after $1.5M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 26, 2025
Volume$1.5M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Giants vs. Eagles
Market image
No
Last observed Yes16.5% (16.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 58.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 59-point move.

Yes 16.5¢ALL-71.8%
12¢25¢38¢51¢64¢10/1910/2610/26Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

16.5% (16.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-13.5%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 26, 2025No settlement with $1.5M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
42 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 26, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price58.5% (58.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: GiantsNo

Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $107.9M traded · Nov 29, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: EaglesYes

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $11.8M traded · Feb 10, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Eagles
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle23.5% (23.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price16.5% (16.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty83.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score7 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Cowboys vs. Eagles

Cowboys vs. Eagles · $3.9M traded · Sep 5, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: EaglesNo

Commanders vs. Eagles

Commanders vs. Eagles · $3.6M traded · Jan 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: EaglesNo

Packers vs. Eagles

Packers vs. Eagles · $3.2M traded · Jan 13, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: GiantsNo

Giants vs. Brewers

Giants vs. Brewers · $1.7M traded · Aug 23, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: EaglesNo

Rams vs. Eagles

Rams vs. Eagles · $2.7M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive