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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 17, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET·#638129

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

No
Final answerResolved Oct 17, 2025

This market settled No on Oct 17, 2025.

“Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET” resolved No on Oct 17, 2025, after $567.4K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 17, 2025
Volume$567.4K
Archive coverageSettlement/book only
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes—
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Settlement evidence only

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $567.4K traded before close.

Archive movement view

No price turn preserved

Settlement receipt replaces the missing curve

External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable. The page now surfaces the trustworthy settlement, book, and source evidence directly instead of leaving an empty price-development module.

Final outcome

No

Resolved Oct 17, 2025

Closing spread

6¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Closing liquidity

$0

Last preserved book depth

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

0%50%100%No turn point preservedOnly the final settlement evidence is available for this market.

Settled

0%

Final recorded outcome: No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now78.5%-8.0%$301.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.15%+0.3%$300.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now21.65%-7.4%$252.4KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

This page has reliable settlement and source-link context, but no preserved pre-settlement price path. It labels that archive gap directly so the final No outcome is not mistaken for a reconstructed crowd-opinion curve.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 17, 2025No settlement with $567.4K traded before close.
Closing book preservedArchive evidence

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 6¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 17, 2025 at 2:15 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
Close certainty100%Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

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Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Same contract familyNo

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? · $9.8M traded · Nov 23, 2024

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2? · $3.5M traded · Feb 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract family
Spike signal
UnknownNo movement anchor was preserved strongly enough to score a late spike.
Spread
6¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
Not recoverableThe page shows a settlement evidence receipt because a full price path is unavailable.
How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread6¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7? · $1.7M traded · Feb 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET · $1.7M traded · Feb 10, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17? · $1.6M traded · Feb 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? · $1.5M traded · Feb 16, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4AM ET · $1.8M traded · Jan 16, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive