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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 25, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Manchester United vs. Brighton·#632183

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?

Yes
Final answerResolved Oct 25, 2025

The crowd called it — 99% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?” resolved Yes on Oct 25, 2025, after $810.9K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Manchester United vs. Brighton event family.

ResolvedOct 25, 2025
Volume$810.9K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99% (99¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 45.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 54-point move.

Yes 99.0¢ALL+108.4%
41¢55¢70¢85¢100¢10/1210/1410/1610/1910/2010/2210/2410/25Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99% (99¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-9.0%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 25, 2025Yes settlement with $810.9K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Resolved checkpoint

Last refreshed

October 25, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price47.5% (47.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Manchester United wins the Premier League?
Same entity: Manchester UnitedNo

Manchester United wins the Premier League?

Premier League Winner · $71.1M traded · Feb 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: UnitedNo

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

English Premier League Winner · $17.0M traded · May 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
53 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle49.5% (49.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99% (99¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99% (99¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score50 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: UnitedNo

Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Thailand Legislative Election Winner · $1.6M traded · Feb 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: UnitedYes

Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?

Leeds United vs. Chelsea · $1.5M traded · Dec 4, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Manchester UnitedNo

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United · $1.4M traded · Nov 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Manchester UnitedNo

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?

Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United · $1.8M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Manchester UnitedNo

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?

Manchester United vs. Everton · $1.3M traded · Nov 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive