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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 19, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen·#632019

Malott vs. Holland

Yes
Final answerResolved Oct 19, 2025

A close one — the market was only 49% confident in Yes at the close.

“Malott vs. Holland” resolved Yes on Oct 19, 2025, after $811.1K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen event family.

ResolvedOct 19, 2025
Volume$811.1K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Malott vs. Holland
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes49% (49¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 42.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 57-point move.

Yes 49.0¢ALL+15.3%
Yes49.0¢No51.0¢
41¢45¢50¢55¢59¢10/1210/1810/19Lowest pointSettled

Last observed Yes

49% (49¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.15%+0.3%$301.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-8.0%$290.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now21.65%-7.0%$272.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 19, 2025Yes settlement with $811.1K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 19, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price42.5% (42.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Fiorot vs. Jasudavicius
Same eventYes

Fiorot vs. Jasudavicius

UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · $1.4M traded · Oct 19, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightYes

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) · $4.5M traded · Feb 22, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle49.5% (49.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle49% (49¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price49% (49¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty51%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightYes

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) · $1.7M traded · May 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightNo

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) · $1.6M traded · Jun 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightYes

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card) · $1.3M traded · Jun 27, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightYes

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) · $1.5M traded · May 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ufc Fight NightYes

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) · $1.5M traded · May 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive