How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Oct 10, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: Phillies vs. Dodgers.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Phillies vs. Dodgers (Oct 10, 2025)

Phillies vs. Dodgers

Final answerResolved Oct 10, 2025

A close one — the market was only 52.5% confident in No at the close.

“Phillies vs. Dodgers” resolved No on Oct 10, 2025, after $1.3M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedOct 10, 2025

Volume$1.3M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 47.5¢ALL-5.0%

Yes47.5¢No52.5¢

Last observed Yes

47.5% (47.5¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-8.0%$305.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.15%+0.3%$300.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now21.65%-7.4%$252.4KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Oct 10, 2025No settlement with $1.3M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 10, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50% (50¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

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