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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 11, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Solana above ___ on October 11?·#621723

Will the price of Solana be above $270 on October 11?

No
Final answerResolved Oct 11, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will the price of Solana be above $270 on October 11?” resolved No on Oct 11, 2025, after $1.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Solana above ___ on October 11? event family.

ResolvedOct 11, 2025
Volume$1.1M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will the price of Solana be above $270 on October 11?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
0¢14¢28¢41¢55¢10/410/510/610/710/810/910/1010/11Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-8.0%$365.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now22%-7.8%$245.7KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 11, 2025No settlement with $1.1M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 11, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Same entity: OctoberNo

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in October? · $102.2M traded · Oct 31, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: OctoberNo

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in October? · $52.6M traded · Oct 29, 2025

Open resolved page
Spike signal
50 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
29 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle1.4% (1.4¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: OctoberYes

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in October? · $51.6M traded · Oct 29, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: OctoberNo

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in October? · $46.1M traded · Oct 29, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: OctoberYes

US government shutdown by October 1?

US government shutdown by October 1? · $13.5M traded · Oct 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: OctoberYes

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?

When will Israel announce ceasefire? · $10.2M traded · Oct 13, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: OctoberYes

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · $9.1M traded · Oct 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive