MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearch

Navigate

Prediction markets, watchlists, and tools

MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearchWatchlist & AlertsHeatmap

CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Track every Polymarket prediction market with live prices, rankings, resolved outcomes, and research.

Trade on Polymarket↗

Markets

  • Rankings
  • Events
  • Topics
  • Ecosystem

Predictions

  • 2028 election odds
  • Bitcoin odds
  • Fed rate odds
  • Trump odds
  • World Cup odds

Resolved

  • Overview
  • Recently resolved
  • High volume
  • Biggest surprises
  • Calibration
  • Monthly archive

Learn

  • Learn hub
  • How markets work
  • How to read odds
  • Is Polymarket accurate?
  • Glossary

Research

  • Research hub
  • Methodology
  • Price discovery
  • Insider trading
  • Brand kit

© 2026 Polyguana. Prediction market intelligence — not investment advice.

Referral disclosure: Polyguana may earn commissions from eligible Polymarket signups and trading activity.

Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 10, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·What price will Ethereum hit in October?·#618982

Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?

Yes
Final answerResolved Oct 10, 2025

The crowd called it — 86% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?” resolved Yes on Oct 10, 2025, after $871.7K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the What price will Ethereum hit in October? event family.

ResolvedOct 10, 2025
Volume$871.7K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes86% (86¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 23.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 77-point move.

Yes 86.0¢ALL+34.4%
19¢37¢55¢73¢91¢10/110/210/410/510/710/810/910/10Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

86% (86¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-13.5%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 10, 2025Yes settlement with $871.7K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Resolved checkpoint

Last refreshed

October 10, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price64% (64¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Same eventNo

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $4.7M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $4.1M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same event
Spike signal
63 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51% (51¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle86% (86¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price86% (86¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty86%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score35 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $3.9M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $2.3M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $2.0M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventYes

Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $1.8M traded · Oct 10, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?

What price will Ethereum hit in October? · $1.6M traded · Nov 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive