How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Oct 6, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October? (Oct 6, 2025)

Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?

Yes

Final answerResolved Oct 6, 2025

The crowd called it — 95.45% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?” resolved Yes on Oct 6, 2025, after $872.2K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the What price will Bitcoin hit in October? event family.

ResolvedOct 6, 2025

Volume$872.2K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 39.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 61-point move.

Yes 95.5¢ALL+141.6%

Last observed Yes

95.45% (95.45¢)

Settled result

Yes

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Oct 6, 2025Yes settlement with $872.2K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

56 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 6, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price39.5% (39.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.