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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Oct 5, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?·#618013

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Yes
Final answerResolved Oct 5, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?” resolved Yes on Oct 5, 2025, after $553.8K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? event family.

ResolvedOct 5, 2025
Volume$553.8K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 13% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 87-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 13% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 87-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

13% (13¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

87 pts

Yes probability

Yes 100.0¢ALL+613.9%
8¢31¢54¢77¢100¢9/3010/110/210/310/310/410/510/5Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · CultureThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Trending in Culture2.05%-0.2%$58.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 5, 2025Yes settlement with $553.8K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Resolved checkpoint

Last refreshed

October 5, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price14% (14¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

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Spike signal
87 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
21 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle79% (79¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score21 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
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