How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Oct 10, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? (Oct 10, 2025)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Final answerResolved Oct 10, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?” resolved No on Oct 10, 2025, after $570.2K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 event family.

ResolvedOct 10, 2025

Volume$570.2K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $570.2K traded before close.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.6%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics84.5%-5.0%$898.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending in Politics97.6%+74.4%$515.2KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics14.35%-4.1%$263.4KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Oct 10, 2025No settlement with $570.2K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price13% (13¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.