How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Nov 20, 2025 on Polymarket. Event family: Chile Presidential Election.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. National Archives 2024 Electoral College results is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? — Resolved market

Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?

Final answerResolved Nov 20, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Nov 20, 2025. Event family: Chile Presidential Election. $3.6M traded before settlement. Question: Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?

ResolvedNov 20, 2025

Volume$3.6M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-94.1%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Headline and statement context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $3.6M traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultssource linked

Official National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Open official results

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultsOfficial National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Resolved

Nov 20, 2025No settlement with $3.6M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price0.85% (0.85¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.