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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Feb 21, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?·#523485

Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?

No
Final answerResolved Feb 21, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?” resolved No on Feb 21, 2025, after $1.0M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedFeb 21, 2025
Volume$1.0M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 53% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 53-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
0¢15¢29¢44¢58¢2/142/202/21Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%0.0%$273.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.55%+0.2%$249.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$242.2KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Feb 21, 2025No settlement with $1.0M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 21, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price53% (53¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Same entity: FebruaryYes

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · $131.1M traded · Mar 4, 2026

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Same entity: FebruaryNo

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026? · $23.9M traded · Mar 1, 2026

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Spike signal
53 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score51 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: FebruaryYes

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US x Iran diplomatic meeting in person by...? · $22.7M traded · Feb 10, 2026

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Same entity: FebruaryNo

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

What price will Bitcoin hit in February? · $28.8M traded · Mar 1, 2026

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Same entity: FebruaryNo

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

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Same entity: FebruaryNo

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Same entity: FebruaryNo

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets February 24 - March 3, 2026? · $15.7M traded · Feb 28, 2026

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Browse the full resolved archive