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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Feb 9, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2·#521554

Du Plessis vs. Strickland

Yes
Final answerResolved Feb 9, 2025

The crowd called it — 84% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Du Plessis vs. Strickland” resolved Yes on Feb 9, 2025, after $897.6K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 event family.

ResolvedFeb 9, 2025
Volume$897.6K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Du Plessis vs. Strickland
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes84% (84¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 62% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 38-point move.

Yes 84.0¢ALL+35.5%
59¢66¢73¢80¢87¢2/42/42/52/62/72/82/9Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

84% (84¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%0.0%$273.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.55%+0.2%$249.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$242.2KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Feb 9, 2025Yes settlement with $897.6K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 9, 2025 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price62% (62¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Same entity: UfcYes

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · $17.5M traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: UfcNo

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · $4.5M traded · Aug 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Spike signal
22 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
22 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle66.5% (66.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle84% (84¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price84% (84¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty84%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score17 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Ufc50/50

Aspinall vs. Gane

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · $3.2M traded · Oct 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: UfcNo

Ankalaev vs. Pereira

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · $2.8M traded · Oct 5, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: UfcYes

Dern vs. Jandiroba

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · $1.8M traded · Oct 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: UfcYes

Jones vs. Miocic

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · $1.2M traded · Nov 17, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: UfcYes

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · $13.6M traded · May 10, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive