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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Feb 4, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Suns vs. Trail Blazers·#521364

Suns vs. Trail Blazers

No
Final answerResolved Feb 4, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Suns vs. Trail Blazers” resolved No on Feb 4, 2025, after $649.2K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedFeb 4, 2025
Volume$649.2K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Suns vs. Trail Blazers
Market image
No
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 65.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 66-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
0¢18¢35¢53¢71¢2/22/32/4Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now82.5%-2.0%$609.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.15%-0.1%$571.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$546.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Feb 4, 2025No settlement with $649.2K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 4, 2025 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Same entity: Trail BlazersYes

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · $9.4M traded · Apr 25, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Trail BlazersYes

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · $8.3M traded · Apr 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Trail BlazersYes
Spike signal
65 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle65.5% (65.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score65 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs · $7.4M traded · Apr 22, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Trail BlazersNo

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · $6.4M traded · Apr 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: NBANo

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

NBA Champion · $378.0M traded · Apr 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: SunsNo

Suns vs. Thunder

Suns vs. Thunder · $4.4M traded · Apr 23, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SunsYes

Thunder vs. Suns

Thunder vs. Suns · $4.1M traded · Apr 25, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive