How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Nov 30, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday? (Nov 30, 2024)

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Final answerResolved Nov 30, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?” resolved No on Nov 30, 2024, after $925.1K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 30, 2024

Volume$925.1K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $925.1K traded before close.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.7%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-3.0%$843.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now97.2%+75.7%$525.2KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now14.45%-3.1%$249.7KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Nov 30, 2024No settlement with $925.1K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 30, 2024 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price17.5% (17.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

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