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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 27, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Bucks vs. Heat·#513898

Bucks vs. Heat

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 27, 2024

A surprise — the market leaned against Yes (32.5% confidence) right before it settled.

“Bucks vs. Heat” resolved Yes on Nov 27, 2024, after $532.3K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 27, 2024
Volume$532.3K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Bucks vs. Heat
Market image
Yes
Last observed Yes32.5% (32.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 32.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 68-point move.

Yes 32.5¢ALL-30.1%
31¢35¢40¢44¢48¢11/2511/2611/27Lowest pointSettled

Last observed Yes

32.5% (32.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$356.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 27, 2024Yes settlement with $532.3K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 27, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price46.5% (46.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Bucks vs. Pacers
Same entity: BucksNo

Bucks vs. Pacers

Bucks vs. Pacers · $2.5M traded · Apr 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: HeatYes

Cavaliers vs. Heat

Cavaliers vs. Heat · $1.6M traded · Apr 29, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: BucksNo

Pacers vs. Bucks

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle44.5% (44.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price32.5% (32.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty67.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score12 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Pacers vs. Bucks · $1.3M traded · Apr 26, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: HeatNo

Heat vs. Kings

Heat vs. Kings · $1.2M traded · Jan 7, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: BucksYes

Celtics vs. Bucks

Celtics vs. Bucks · $6.6M traded · Mar 3, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: NBANo

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

NBA Champion · $378.0M traded · Apr 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: HeatNo

76ers vs. Heat

76ers vs. Heat · $4.6M traded · Mar 31, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive