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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Feb 3, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Grammys: Album of the Year·#513552

Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?

No
Final answerResolved Feb 3, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?” resolved No on Feb 3, 2025, after $735.6K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Grammys: Album of the Year event family.

ResolvedFeb 3, 2025
Volume$735.6K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-92.9%
0¢2¢4¢6¢8¢1/41/91/161/201/241/292/22/3Settled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live markets · CultureThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?Trending in Culture92.5%+28.0%$19.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Trending in Culture7.5%+20.5%$14.4KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $735.6K traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Feb 3, 2025No settlement with $735.6K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 3, 2025 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price0.7% (0.7¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Same entity: YearNo

Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Time 2025 Person of the Year · $10.5M traded · Dec 16, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: YearNo

Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Game of the Year 2025 · $8.0M traded · Nov 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
36 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle0.2% (0.2¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: YearNo

Will Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Game of the Year 2025 · $5.6M traded · Nov 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: YearNo

Will Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year · $15.5M traded · Jan 24, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: YearNo

Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Game of the Year 2025 · $5.4M traded · Nov 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: YearNo

Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Game of the Year 2025 · $4.9M traded · Nov 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: YearYes

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Time 2025 Person of the Year · $4.0M traded · Dec 11, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive