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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 25, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Cardinals vs. Seahawks·#513329

Cardinals vs. Seahawks

No
Final answerResolved Nov 25, 2024

The crowd called it — 80.5% confident in No just before settlement.

“Cardinals vs. Seahawks” resolved No on Nov 25, 2024, after $478.8K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 25, 2024
Volume$478.8K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Market image
No
Last observed Yes19.5% (19.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 51.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 52-point move.

Yes 19.5¢ALL-61.0%
16¢26¢36¢45¢55¢11/1811/1911/1911/2011/2211/2311/2411/25Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

19.5% (19.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$356.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 25, 2024No settlement with $478.8K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 25, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: CardinalsNo

Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $43.2M traded · Dec 23, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksNo

Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $20.7M traded · Dec 30, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: Cardinals
Spike signal
32 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
28 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle50.5% (50.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle19.5% (19.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price19.5% (19.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty80.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score31 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Cardinals vs. Rams

Cardinals vs. Rams · $2.3M traded · Dec 29, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: CardinalsNo

Cardinals vs. Padres

Cardinals vs. Padres · $1.5M traded · Aug 4, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: CardinalsYes

Cardinals vs. Dodgers

Cardinals vs. Dodgers · $1.3M traded · Aug 7, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksYes

Seahawks vs. Bears

Seahawks vs. Bears · $1.6M traded · Dec 27, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksNo

Rams vs. Seahawks

Rams vs. Seahawks · $13.6M traded · Jan 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive