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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 24, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Vikings vs. Bears·#513322

Vikings vs. Bears

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 24, 2024

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in Yes at the close.

“Vikings vs. Bears” resolved Yes on Nov 24, 2024, after $563.6K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 24, 2024
Volume$563.6K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Vikings vs. Bears
Market image
Yes
Last observed Yes50% (50¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 50.0¢ALL-33.8%
47¢55¢63¢71¢79¢11/1811/1911/1911/2011/2111/2211/2411/24Lowest pointSettled

Last observed Yes

50% (50¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$356.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 24, 2024Yes settlement with $563.6K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 24, 2024 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price75.5% (75.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: BearsNo

Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $8.7M traded · Dec 16, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: VikingsNo

Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $6.5M traded · Jan 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Bears
Spike signal
26 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
27 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle62.5% (62.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50% (50¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score13 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?

NFC Champion · $5.8M traded · Dec 16, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: VikingsYes

Vikings vs. Bears

Vikings vs. Bears · $3.6M traded · Sep 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: VikingsNo

Vikings vs. Rams

Vikings vs. Rams · $3.5M traded · Jan 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: VikingsNo

Vikings vs. Lions

Vikings vs. Lions · $2.6M traded · Jan 6, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: VikingsNo

Packers vs. Vikings

Packers vs. Vikings · $2.5M traded · Dec 30, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive