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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 22, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Pistons vs. Hornets·#513283

Pistons vs. Hornets

No
Final answerResolved Nov 22, 2024

A surprise — the market leaned against No (40% confidence) right before it settled.

“Pistons vs. Hornets” resolved No on Nov 22, 2024, after $417.7K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 22, 2024
Volume$417.7K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Pistons vs. Hornets
Market image
No
Last observed Yes60% (60¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 60% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 60-point move.

Yes 60.0¢ALL+20.0%
Yes60.0¢No40.0¢
38¢44¢50¢56¢62¢11/1711/2111/22Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

60% (60¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%-0.2%$1.7MTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$1.4MTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$1.4MTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 22, 2024No settlement with $417.7K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 22, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Knicks vs. Pistons
Same entity: PistonsYes

Knicks vs. Pistons

Knicks vs. Pistons · $2.2M traded · Apr 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Hornets50/50

Hornets vs. Lakers

Hornets vs. Lakers · $1.7M traded · Jan 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PistonsYes
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price60% (60¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty60%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score8 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Pistons vs. Knicks

Pistons vs. Knicks · $1.6M traded · Apr 22, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PistonsYes

Wizards vs. Pistons

Wizards vs. Pistons · $1.5M traded · Mar 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PistonsYes

Knicks vs. Pistons

Knicks vs. Pistons · $1.4M traded · May 2, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PistonsYes

Pistons vs. Knicks

Pistons vs. Knicks · $1.2M traded · Apr 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PistonsYes

Knicks vs. Pistons

Knicks vs. Pistons · $1.2M traded · Apr 27, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive