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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 22, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?·#513137

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 22, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?” resolved Yes on Nov 22, 2024, after $991.7K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 22, 2024
Volume$991.7K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 62.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 38-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+53.8%
58¢69¢79¢90¢100¢11/1611/1711/1811/1911/2011/2111/2211/22Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$327.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$302.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.5%-0.1%$281.1KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 22, 2024Yes settlement with $991.7K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 22, 2024 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price65% (65¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Same entity: NovemberNo

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Fed Interest Rates: November 2024 · $134.0M traded · Nov 7, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: NovemberYes

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Israel military action against Iraq before November? · $27.8M traded · Oct 30, 2024

Open resolved page
Spike signal
37 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
28 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle98.35% (98.35¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score2 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: NovemberNo

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? · $28.6M traded · Dec 1, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: NovemberNo

Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?

Fed Interest Rates: November 2024 · $19.2M traded · Nov 7, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: NovemberNo

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

What day will the Government Shutdown end? · $13.1M traded · Nov 13, 2025

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Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? · $18.5M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: NovemberNo

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Fed Interest Rates: November 2024 · $15.0M traded · Nov 7, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive