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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 18, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Falcons vs. Broncos·#512656

Falcons vs. Broncos

No
Final answerResolved Nov 18, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Falcons vs. Broncos” resolved No on Nov 18, 2024, after $412.9K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 18, 2024
Volume$412.9K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Falcons vs. Broncos
Market image
No
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
0¢14¢28¢41¢55¢11/1111/1711/18Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$356.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 18, 2024No settlement with $412.9K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 18, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: FalconsNo

Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $49.9M traded · Jan 6, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: BroncosNo

Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $14.1M traded · Jan 13, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Falcons
Spike signal
50 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle45.5% (45.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score45 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Yes

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner · $1.7M traded · Jun 21, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: FalconsNo

Falcons vs. Commanders

Falcons vs. Commanders · $2.7M traded · Dec 30, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: FalconsYes

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Buccaneers vs. Falcons · $1.2M traded · Sep 7, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: BroncosNo

Broncos vs. Bills

Broncos vs. Bills · $2.1M traded · Jan 12, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: BroncosNo

Broncos vs. Bengals

Broncos vs. Bengals · $2.0M traded · Dec 29, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive