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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 17, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Ravens vs. Steelers·#512652

Ravens vs. Steelers

No
Final answerResolved Nov 17, 2024

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in No at the close.

“Ravens vs. Steelers” resolved No on Nov 17, 2024, after $701.9K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 17, 2024
Volume$701.9K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Ravens vs. Steelers
Market image
No
Last observed Yes50% (50¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 61.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 62-point move.

Yes 50.0¢ALL-18.0%
Yes50.0¢No50.0¢
36¢43¢50¢57¢64¢11/1111/1711/17Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

50% (50¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%-0.2%$1.3MTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now78.5%-6.0%$974.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 17, 2024No settlement with $701.9K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 17, 2024 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price61% (61¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: SteelersNo

Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $32.7M traded · Jan 12, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RavensNo

Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $6.4M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ravens
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle61.5% (61.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50% (50¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score12 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Ravens vs. Bills

Ravens vs. Bills · $3.7M traded · Sep 8, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RavensNo

Ravens vs. Bills

Ravens vs. Bills · $3.3M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: SteelersYes

Bengals vs. Steelers

Bengals vs. Steelers · $2.3M traded · Jan 5, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RavensYes

Ravens vs. Texans

Ravens vs. Texans · $2.3M traded · Dec 26, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: SteelersYes

Chiefs vs. Steelers

Chiefs vs. Steelers · $2.2M traded · Dec 25, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive