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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 17, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Rams vs. Patriots·#512650

Rams vs. Patriots

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 17, 2024

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in Yes at the close.

“Rams vs. Patriots” resolved Yes on Nov 17, 2024, after $559.3K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 17, 2024
Volume$559.3K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Rams vs. Patriots
Market image
Yes
Last observed Yes50% (50¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 50.0¢ALL-26.5%
48¢53¢59¢65¢70¢11/1111/1711/17Lowest pointSettled

Last observed Yes

50% (50¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-5.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now95.7%+67.7%$493.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now15.15%-5.5%$398.5KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 17, 2024Yes settlement with $559.3K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 17, 2024 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price68% (68¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: PatriotsNo

Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $74.3M traded · Dec 2, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: PatriotsYes

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seattle vs. New England · $36.3M traded · Feb 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Rams
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle66.5% (66.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50% (50¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score17 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $9.1M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RamsNo

Vikings vs. Rams

Vikings vs. Rams · $3.5M traded · Jan 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RamsNo

Texans vs. Rams

Texans vs. Rams · $1.9M traded · Sep 8, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RamsNo

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

NFC Champion · $2.7M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: RamsNo

Rams vs. Eagles

Rams vs. Eagles · $2.7M traded · Jan 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive