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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 10, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·What price will Bitcoin hit in November?·#511524

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Yes
Final answerResolved Nov 10, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?” resolved Yes on Nov 10, 2024, after $1.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the What price will Bitcoin hit in November? event family.

ResolvedNov 10, 2024
Volume$1.1M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 40.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 60-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+146.8%
36¢52¢68¢84¢100¢11/111/911/10Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$999.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.15%-0.1%$997.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now81.5%-3.0%$631.1KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 10, 2024Yes settlement with $1.1M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 10, 2024 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price40.5% (40.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Same eventNo

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $8.0M traded · Dec 1, 2024

Open resolved page
Same eventYes

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $7.8M traded · Nov 21, 2024

Open resolved page
Spike signal
59 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle65.5% (65.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score34 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same event
Yes

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $6.3M traded · Nov 13, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: BitcoinNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? · $375.8M traded · Jun 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $2.3M traded · Dec 1, 2024

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $2.1M traded · Dec 1, 2024

Open resolved page
Same eventYes

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November? · $2.0M traded · Nov 11, 2024

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive