How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Nov 25, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: 'Wicked' Opening Weekend Box Office.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend? (Nov 25, 2024)

Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?

Final answerResolved Nov 25, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?” resolved No on Nov 25, 2024, after $447.5K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the 'Wicked' Opening Weekend Box Office event family.

ResolvedNov 25, 2024

Volume$447.5K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Large downward reprice

The market sat near 49.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Large downward reprice

The archived price moved 50 points between the stored anchor and settlement.

Peak Yes

49.5% (49.5¢)

Curve peak

Settled No

0% (0¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

50 pts

Yes probability

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.8%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live markets · CultureThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?Trending in Culture96.6%+20.7%$19.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Trending in Culture8.5%+22.5%$19.1KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Nov 25, 2024No settlement with $447.5K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 25, 2024 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price27.5% (27.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.