How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Sep 1, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? — Resolved market

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Final answerResolved Sep 1, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Sep 1, 2024. Event family: Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? $1.3M traded before settlement. Question: Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

ResolvedSep 1, 2024

Volume$1.3M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Large downward reprice

The market sat near 53.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 54-point move.

Large downward reprice

The archived price moved 54 points between the stored anchor and settlement.

Peak Yes

53.5% (53.5¢)

Curve peak

Settled No

0% (0¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

54 pts

Yes probability

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Sep 1, 2024No settlement with $1.3M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

September 1, 2024 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price52% (52¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.