How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Nov 1, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? (Nov 1, 2024)

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?

Final answerResolved Nov 1, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.65% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?” resolved No on Nov 1, 2024, after $479.0K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 1, 2024

Volume$479.0K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $479.0K traded before close.

Yes 0.4¢ALL-95.9%

Last observed Yes

0.35% (0.35¢)

Settled result

Trending live markets · GeopoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Trending in Geopolitics5.25%-0.5%$157.5KTrade on Polyguana →Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Trending in Geopolitics3.5%+1.0%$51.0KTrade on Polyguana →Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Trending in Geopolitics7.5%-1.5%$31.5KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Nov 1, 2024No settlement with $479.0K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.7¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 1, 2024 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price8.5% (8.5¢)Observed

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