How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Nov 22, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: # of Republican Senate seats after Election?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. National Archives 2024 Electoral College results is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election? (Nov 22, 2024)

Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Yes

Final answerResolved Nov 22, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?” resolved Yes on Nov 22, 2024, after $1.3M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the # of Republican Senate seats after Election? event family.

ResolvedNov 22, 2024

Volume$1.3M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 11% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 89-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 11% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 89-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

11% (11¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

89 pts

Yes probability

Yes 99.5¢ALL+804.5%

Last observed Yes

99.5% (99.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics77.5%-7.5%$349.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending in Politics2.25%+0.1%$304.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending in Politics2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultssource linked

Official National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Open official results

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultsOfficial National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Resolved

Nov 22, 2024Yes settlement with $1.3M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.2¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 22, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price11% (11¢)Observed

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