How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Nov 6, 2024 on Polymarket. Event family: Nebraska Senate Election Winner.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. National Archives 2024 Electoral College results is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election? (Nov 6, 2024)

Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?

Yes

Final answerResolved Nov 6, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.7% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?” resolved Yes on Nov 6, 2024, after $580.0K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Nebraska Senate Election Winner event family.

ResolvedNov 6, 2024

Volume$580.0K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 74.7% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 25-point move.

Yes 99.7¢ALL+29.7%

Last observed Yes

99.7% (99.7¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics85.5%+7.0%$586.2KTrade on Polyguana →Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Trending in Politics6%-3.7%$338.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending in Politics15.5%-1.0%$298.2KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultssource linked

Official National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Open official results

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultsOfficial National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Resolved

Nov 6, 2024Yes settlement with $580.0K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 6, 2024 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price76.85% (76.85¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.